Frost And Freeze About To Hit US Crops

National Weather Service reports warnings and advisories for Nebraska.

(emphasis mine) [my comment]

000
WWUS75 KCYS 280313
NPWCYS

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
913 PM MDT SUN SEP 27 2009

...THE FIRST FREEZE OF THE SEASON EXPECTED TONIGHT...

COOLER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO SPILL INTO THE REGION IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT PASSED THROUGH EARLIER ON SUNDAY. AS A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM SETTLES IN ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT... TEMPERATURES WILL DROP DUE TO THE CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS.

NEZ001>003-019>021-054-055-WYZ059-060-067>070-281400- /O.CON.KCYS.FZ.W.0002.090928T0900Z-090928T1400Z/ SIOUX-DAWES-BOX BUTTE-SCOTTS BLUFF-BANNER-MORRILL-KIMBALL- CHEYENNE-CONVERSE-NIOBRARA-PLATTE-GOSHEN-CHEYENNE FOOTHILLS- PINE BLUFFS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF... HARRISON...CHADRON...ALLIANCE... SCOTTSBLUFF...GERING...HARRISBURG...BRIDGEPORT...BAYARD... KIMBALL...SIDNEY...DOUGLAS...GLENROCK...LUSK...WHEATLAND... GUERNSEY...TORRINGTON...CHEYENNE...PINE BLUFFS 913 PM MDT SUN SEP 27 2009

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM MDT MONDAY...
...
LOWS WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S...WITH SOME LOCATIONS ESPECIALLY ALONG THE NORTH PLATTE RIVER AND AT TYPICALLY COLDER LOCATIONS SUCH AS ALLIANCE SEEING THE FIRST HARD FREEZE OF THE SEASON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE HIGHLY LIKELY.
PEOPLE WITH COLD SENSITIVE PLANTS SHOULD TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT THEM OVERNIGHT.

&&

$$

000
WWUS73 KLBF 280003
NPWLBF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
703 PM CDT SUN SEP 27 2009

...COLD DRY AIR MOVING INTO WESTERN NEBRASKA...

COLD SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD SOUTH INTO WESTERN NEBRASKA TONIGHT.

NEZ004-022>024-035-036-056-057-059-094-281345- /O.CON.KLBF.FZ.W.0001.090928T0600Z-090928T1500Z/ SHERIDAN-GARDEN-GRANT-HOOKER-ARTHUR-MCPHERSON-DEUEL-KEITH-LINCOLN- WESTERN CHERRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GORDON...RUSHVILLE... OSHKOSH... HYANNIS...MULLEN...ARTHUR...TRYON...CHAPPELL...BIG SPRINGS... OGALLALA...NORTH PLATTE...CODY...MERRIMAN...KILGORE 703 PM CDT SUN SEP 27 2009 /603 PM MDT SUN SEP 27 2009/

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/
TO 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ MONDAY...
...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO WESTERN NEBRASKA OVERNIGHT. WITH CLEAR SKY AND WIND BECOMING LIGHT...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FREEZING OVER THE EASTERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE AND PARTS OF WESTERN NEBRASKA OVERNIGHT. THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN IS WEST OF A LINE FROM CODY IN CHERRY COUNTY...TO NORTH PLATTE IN LINCOLN COUNTY AND ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80. IN THE PANHANDLE...BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED AS EARLY AS 3 AM MDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

National Weather Service reports warnings and advisories for Wyoming.

000
WWUS73 KUNR 280350
NPWUNR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
950 PM MDT SUN SEP 27 2009

SDZ001-002-012-013-025>027-030-031-041-042-072>074-WYZ054>056-058- 071-281400- /O.CON.KUNR.FR.Y.0002.090928T0900Z-090928T1400Z/ HARDING-PERKINS-BUTTE-NORTHERN MEADE CO PLAINS- NORTHERN FOOT HILLS-RAPID CITY-SOUTHERN FOOT HILLS- CUSTER CO PLAINS-PENNINGTON CO PLAINS-FALL RIVER-SHANNON- STURGIS/PIEDMONT FOOT HILLS-SOUTHERN MEADE CO PLAINS- HERMOSA FOOT HILLS-NORTHERN CAMPBELL-SOUTHERN CAMPBELL- WESTERN CROOK-WESTON-NORTHEASTERN CROOK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...LEMMON...BISON... BELLE FOURCHE...FAITH...SPEARFISH...RAPID CITY...HOT SPRINGS... FOLSOM...WALL...EDGEMONT...PINE RIDGE...KYLE...STURGIS... UNION CENTER...HERMOSA...GILLETTE...WRIGHT...MOORCROFT...HULETT... NEWCASTLE...COLONY
950 PM MDT SUN SEP 27 2009

...
A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM MDT MONDAY.

UNDER CLEAR SKIES... WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT TONIGHT. FROST WILL DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS...ACROSS NORTHEASTERN WYOMING AND WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE FORMATION OF FROST THAT CAN KILL SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS.

National Weather Service reports warnings and advisories for North Dakota.

000
FLUS43 KBIS 280234
HWOBIS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
934 PM CDT SUN SEP 27 2009

NDZ001-002-009-010-017-018-031>033-040-041-043-044-290245- DIVIDE-BURKE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-MCKENZIE-DUNN-GOLDEN VALLEY- BILLINGS-STARK-SLOPE-HETTINGER-BOWMAN-ADAMS- 934 PM CDT SUN SEP 27 2009 /834 PM MDT SUN SEP 27 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A FROST ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM UNTIL 8 AM MDT. AS WINDS DIMINISH AND SKIES CLEAR OVERNIGHT...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN BRING INCREASING FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ON TUESDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
...
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FROST EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

National Weather Service reports warnings and advisories for South Dakota.

000
WWUS73 KUNR 280325
NPWUNR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
925 PM MDT SUN SEP 27 2009

SDZ013-025-026-030-031-072>074-281400- /O.EXA.KUNR.FR.Y.0002.090928T0900Z-090928T1400Z/ NORTHERN MEADE CO PLAINS-NORTHERN FOOT HILLS-RAPID CITY- CUSTER CO PLAINS-PENNINGTON CO PLAINS-STURGIS/PIEDMONT FOOT HILLS- SOUTHERN MEADE CO PLAINS-HERMOSA FOOT HILLS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAITH...SPEARFISH...RAPID CITY... FOLSOM...WALL...STURGIS...UNION CENTER...HERMOSA 925 PM MDT SUN SEP 27 2009

[South Dakota]

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM MDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RAPID CITY HAS ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM MDT MONDAY.

WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT TONIGHT...ALLOWING FROST TO DEVELOP IN LOW LYING AREAS LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES IN LOW LYING AREAS WILL DROP TO THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE FORMATION OF FROST THAT CAN KILL SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS.

&&

SDZ001-002-012-027-041-042-WYZ054>056-058-071-281400- /O.CON.KUNR.FR.Y.0002.090928T0900Z-090928T1400Z/ HARDING-PERKINS-BUTTE-SOUTHERN FOOT HILLS-FALL RIVER-SHANNON- NORTHERN CAMPBELL-SOUTHERN CAMPBELL-WESTERN CROOK-WESTON- NORTHEASTERN CROOK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...LEMMON...BISON... BELLE FOURCHE...HOT SPRINGS...EDGEMONT...PINE RIDGE...KYLE... GILLETTE...WRIGHT...MOORCROFT...HULETT...NEWCASTLE...COLONY 925 PM MDT SUN SEP 27 2009

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM MDT MONDAY...
...
WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT TONIGHT...ALLOWING FROST TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP TO THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE FORMATION OF FROST THAT CAN KILL SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS.

My reaction: Frost and freeze will begin hitting US crops in Nebraska and the Dakotas tonight. On Tuesday morning, Frost will hit an even great portion of Midwest.

Below are the USDA's latest soybean production estimates. The more outrageous yield estimates are highlighted in red. The states about to experience frost or a killing freeze are highlighted in blue. The states likely to experience frost on Tuesday are highlighted in orange.

Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2008 and Forecasted September 1, 2009

2008

2009

2008

2009

2008

2009

Area Harvested

Yield

Production

1000 acres

(Bushels per acre)

1000 bushels

Ohio

4,480

4,580

36

47

161,280

215,260

Alaska

350

440

35

37

12,250

16,280

Arkansas

3,250

3,350

38

38

123,500

127,300

Delaware

193

188

27.5

36

5,308

6,768

Georgia

415

480

30

34

12,450

16,320

Illinois

9,100

9,050

47

44

427,700

398,200

Indiana

5,430

5,480

45

43

244,350

235,640

Iowa

9,670

9,730

46

52

444,820

505,960

Kansas

3,250

3,500

37

40

120,250

140,000

Kentucky

1,380

1,430

34

42

46,920

60,060

Louisiana

950

1,000

33

35

31,350

35,000

Maryland

485

480

30

39

14,550

18,720

Michigan

1,890

1,990

37

38

69,930

75,620

Minnesota

6,950

7,100

38

40

264,100

284,000

Mississippi

1,960

2,170

40

41

78,400

88,970

Missouri

5,030

5,350

38

42

191,140

224,700

Nebraska

4,860

4,650

46.5

51

225,990

237,150

New Jersey

90

90

29

35

2,610

3,150

New York

226

252

46

43

10,396

10,836

North Carolina

1,670

1,760

33

34

55,110

59,840

North Dakota

3,760

4,000

28

30

105,280

120,000

Oklahoma

360

330

25

26

9,000

8,580

Pennsylvania

430

445

40

45

17,200

20,025

South Carolina

530

590

32

27

16,960

15,930

South Dakota

4,060

4,300

34

39

138,040

167,700

Tennessee

1,460

1,560

34

40

49,640

62,400

Texas

205

210

24

25

4,920

5,250

Virginia

570

590

32

35

18,240

20,650

Wisconsin

1,590

1,630

35

39

55,650

63,570

Other

47

42

39.1

33.6

1,840

1,413

Total

2,959,174

3,245,292

This again shows why USDA production numbers don't match up to reality.

This entry was posted in Food_Crisis, News_Developments. Bookmark the permalink.

9 Responses to Frost And Freeze About To Hit US Crops

  1. Anonymous says:

    What about the dollar collapse post ?

  2. My father had a heart attack on Friday and died today. So I have been a little distracted.

    I will try to finish it later this week.

  3. Natasa says:

    Eric,
    I am very sorry.
    My sincere condolences.
    Best regards
    Natasa

  4. Anonymous says:

    Very sorry to hear that, Eric.

    Starkman

  5. dashxdr says:

    Very sorry to hear about your loss, Eric. Hang in there.

  6. Robert says:

    Really sorry to hear that Eric.

    Regards,
    Rob.

  7. Shin says:

    whoa... sorry to hear that Eric.

  8. Anonymous says:

    Wow Eric,

    Sorry to hear that...

    But if there is any good news coming out of a death it is...

    Your father is in a better place now Eric.

    May he rest in peace, and you find comfort in this time of sadness...

  9. Numonic says:

    Sorry to hear that Eric.

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